SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Corinthians | Draw | Racing Club |
42.39% ( -0.72) | 27.39% ( 0.17) | 30.22% ( 0.54) |
| Both teams to score 48.35% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.03% ( -0.45) | 56.97% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.12% ( -0.36) | 77.87% ( 0.36) |
| Corinthians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.44% ( -0.58) | 26.56% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.22% ( -0.78) | 61.77% ( 0.78) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.84% ( 0.17) | 34.15% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.15% ( 0.18) | 70.84% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Corinthians | Draw | Racing Club |
| 1-0 @ 12.02% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.06% Total : 42.38% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.39% | 0-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 30.22% |
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