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Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs | Finals | 2nd Leg
May 29, 2021 at 5pm UK
Holstein-Stadion
KL

Holstein Kiel
1 - 5
FC Koln

Jae-sung (4')
Porath (32')
FT(HT: 1-4)
Hector (3'), Andersson (6', 13'), Czichos (39'), Skhiri (84')
Bornauw (28'), Horn (44'), Horn (65'), Thielmann (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 49.03%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 26.95% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Holstein KielDrawFC Koln
49.03%24.02%26.95%
Both teams to score 56.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.98%45.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.63%67.36%
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.55%18.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.36%49.63%
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.63%30.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.44%66.55%
Score Analysis
    Holstein Kiel 49.03%
    FC Koln 26.95%
    Draw 24.01%
Holstein KielDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 9.54%
1-0 @ 9.47%
2-0 @ 8%
3-1 @ 5.37%
3-0 @ 4.51%
3-2 @ 3.2%
4-1 @ 2.27%
4-0 @ 1.9%
4-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 49.03%
1-1 @ 11.28%
2-2 @ 5.68%
0-0 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.01%
1-2 @ 6.73%
0-1 @ 6.68%
0-2 @ 3.98%
1-3 @ 2.67%
2-3 @ 2.26%
0-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 26.95%

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