Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.65%) and 0-1 (5.57%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
