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Aug 6, 2022 at 2.30pm UK at Borussia-Park
Borussia M'bach
3 - 1
Hoffenheim
Bensebaini (42'), Thuram (71'), Elvedi (78')
Scally (13')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Skov (25')
Posch (15'), Samassekou (23'), Vogt (75')
Posch (19')

We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 3-1 Hoffenheim

After a morale-boosting heavy victory in Farke's first competitive game in charge, we can envisage Gladbach beginning Bundesliga life under their new manager with another victory. The hosts appear to have more firepower than their forthcoming opponents, who were less than impressive when requiring extra time to beat a team three divisions below them in the DFB-Pokal on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Borussia Monchengladbach in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Borussia Monchengladbach.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawHoffenheim
42.8% (-1.334 -1.33) 23.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 33.22% (1.341 1.34)
Both teams to score 60.7% (0.573 0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.47% (0.521 0.52)41.53% (-0.523 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.07% (0.525 0.52)63.93% (-0.526 -0.53)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.36% (-0.36199999999999 -0.36)19.64% (0.361 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.39% (-0.594 -0.59)51.61% (0.592 0.59)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.53% (1.049 1.05)24.46% (-1.05 -1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.09% (1.455 1.46)58.91% (-1.456 -1.46)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 42.8%
    Hoffenheim 33.22%
    Draw 23.98%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.143 -0.14)
1-0 @ 7.82% (-0.277 -0.28)
2-0 @ 6.36% (-0.301 -0.3)
3-1 @ 4.86% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-0 @ 3.45% (-0.204 -0.2)
3-2 @ 3.42% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 42.8%
1-1 @ 11.01% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.31% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 4.81% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.61% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.98%
1-2 @ 7.75% (0.198 0.2)
0-1 @ 6.77% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.76% (0.174 0.17)
1-3 @ 3.64% (0.198 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.96% (0.13 0.13)
0-3 @ 2.24% (0.145 0.15)
1-4 @ 1.28% (0.106 0.11)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 33.22%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Oberachern 1-9 Borussia M'bach
Sunday, July 31 at 2.31pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 5-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-1 Borussia M'bach
Sunday, May 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 3-1 RB Leipzig
Monday, May 2 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 3-3 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, April 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-3 FC Koln
Saturday, April 16 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Rodinghausen 0-2 Hoffenheim
Sunday, July 31 at 2.31pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 5-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-4 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, May 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-4 Freiburg
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 2-2 Hoffenheim
Saturday, April 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 0-0 Greuther Furth
Sunday, April 17 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
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