Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.
