Celtic were well beaten against Leverkusen in September, but with the hosts to be without a few key players on Thursday, a closer affair could be on the cards this time around.
Nevertheless, the Germans will be the favourites for this contest and still have enough quality in their squad to secure all three points at the BayArena.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Celtic had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.34%) and 3-1 (5.34%). The likeliest Celtic win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
