Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hertha Berlin would win this match.