Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
