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Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
May 23, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Volkswagen Arena
DL

Wolfsburg
0 - 2
Dortmund


Ginczek (61'), Brooks (66'), Arnold (86'), Schlager (90+2')
Klaus (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Guerreiro (32'), Hakimi (78')
Delaney (55'), Hazard (74')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.27%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
WolfsburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
32.06%23.28%44.66%
Both teams to score 62.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.4%38.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.1%60.89%
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.26%23.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.12%57.87%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.32%17.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.69%48.31%
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 32.06%
    Borussia Dortmund 44.66%
    Draw 23.28%
WolfsburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.52%
1-0 @ 6.03%
2-0 @ 4.34%
3-1 @ 3.61%
3-2 @ 3.12%
3-0 @ 2.08%
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 32.06%
1-1 @ 10.45%
2-2 @ 6.52%
0-0 @ 4.2%
3-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.28%
1-2 @ 9.06%
0-1 @ 7.27%
0-2 @ 6.3%
1-3 @ 5.23%
2-3 @ 3.76%
0-3 @ 3.64%
1-4 @ 2.27%
2-4 @ 1.63%
0-4 @ 1.58%
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 44.66%


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