Petrocub may be coming into this game on the back of a fantastic unbeaten run across all competitions, while they have also kept clean sheets in each of their last two matches, but we believe the hosts will prove too strong for them in this one and secure a narrow first-leg lead.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a APOEL win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Petrocub Hincesti had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an APOEL win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Petrocub Hincesti win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for APOEL in this match.
