SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Petrocub Hincesti win with a probability of 37.03%. A win for Ordabasy had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Petrocub Hincesti win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Ordabasy win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Petrocub Hincesti in this match.
| Result | ||
| Petrocub Hincesti | Draw | Ordabasy |
37.03% ( 0.53) | 27.67% ( 0.11) | 35.3% ( -0.64) |
| Both teams to score 48.78% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.97% ( -0.43) | 57.02% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.08% ( -0.34) | 77.92% ( 0.34) |
| Petrocub Hincesti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.38% ( 0.12) | 29.62% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.34% ( 0.14) | 65.65% ( -0.14) |
| Ordabasy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.3% ( -0.62) | 30.69% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.05% ( -0.73) | 66.95% ( 0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Petrocub Hincesti | Draw | Ordabasy |
| 1-0 @ 11.06% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 37.03% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.67% | 0-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.12% Total : 35.29% |
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