SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 70.85%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 12.11%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 1-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Dinamo Zagreb win it was 1-2 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Dinamo Zagreb |
70.85% ( 0.11) | 17.04% ( -0.05) | 12.11% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.73% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.06% ( 0.13) | 35.95% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.97% ( 0.15) | 58.04% ( -0.14) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91% ( 0.06) | 9.01% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.31% ( 0.14) | 30.69% ( -0.14) |
| Dinamo Zagreb Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.05% ( 0.01) | 40.95% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.49% ( 0.01) | 77.51% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Dinamo Zagreb |
| 2-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 8.88% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.59% Total : 70.85% | 1-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.04% | 1-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 1.49% Total : 12.11% |
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