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Premier League | Gameweek 13
Nov 30, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
London Stadium
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West Ham
2 - 5
Arsenal

Wan-Bissaka (38'), Palmieri (40')
Palmieri (42'), Fabianski (45+3'), Summerville (45+1'), Soucek (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-5)
Magalhaes (10'), Trossard (27'), Odegaard (34' pen.), Havertz (36'), Saka (45+5' pen.)
Saka (42')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 0-2 West Ham
Monday, November 25 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-5 Arsenal
Tuesday, November 26 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 59.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 18.71%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a West Ham United win it was 1-0 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
West Ham UnitedDrawArsenal
18.71% (0.072999999999997 0.07) 21.7% (0.023 0.02) 59.6% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Both teams to score 53.74% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.05% (0.023000000000003 0.02)43.95% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.67% (0.021999999999998 0.02)66.34% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.75% (0.094999999999999 0.09)37.25% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.96% (0.091999999999999 0.09)74.04% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.64% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)14.36% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.77% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)42.23% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Score Analysis
    West Ham United 18.71%
    Arsenal 59.59%
    Draw 21.69%
West Ham UnitedDrawArsenal
1-0 @ 5.28% (0.008 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.06% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 2.61% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.67% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.62% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 18.71%
1-1 @ 10.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.35% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.69%
0-1 @ 10.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 10.07% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.95%
0-3 @ 6.52% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 6.44% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.18% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 3.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-5 @ 1.23% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 59.59%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Newcastle 0-2 West Ham
Monday, November 25 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 0-0 Everton
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 3-0 West Ham
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 2-1 Man Utd
Sunday, October 27 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 4-1 West Ham
Saturday, October 19 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 4-1 Ipswich
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-5 Arsenal
Tuesday, November 26 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Arsenal 3-0 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 1-1 Arsenal
Sunday, November 10 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Arsenal
Wednesday, November 6 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 Arsenal
Saturday, November 2 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Preston 0-3 Arsenal
Wednesday, October 30 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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