SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | HNK Rijeka |
42.92% ( -0.27) | 25.77% ( 0.07) | 31.31% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 53.8% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.81% ( -0.22) | 50.19% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.85% ( -0.19) | 72.15% ( 0.19) |
| Dinamo Zagreb Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.75% ( -0.22) | 23.25% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.83% ( -0.32) | 57.17% ( 0.32) |
| HNK Rijeka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.1% ( 0.02) | 29.89% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.01% ( 0.03) | 65.99% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | HNK Rijeka |
| 1-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.04% Total : 42.91% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.27% Total : 31.31% |
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