Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 46.47%. A win for Zenit St Petersburg had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Brugge would win this match.