Dinamo Zagreb
3 - 2
Valur

(Dinamo Zagreb win 5-2 on aggregate)

Ademi (8', 72'), Majer (41' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-0)

Freyr Sigurdsson (88'), Adolphsson (90')
Pall Sigurdsson (45+1'), Gudjonsson (52'), Kohler (82')

Coverage of the Champions League First Qualifying Round clash between Dinamo Zagreb and Valur Reykjavik.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 57.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Valur Reykjavik had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Valur Reykjavik win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.

Result
Dinamo Zagreb	Draw	Valur Reykjavik
57.74%	23.05%	19.2%

Both teams to score 50.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.99%

49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.91%

71.09%

Dinamo Zagreb Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.29%

16.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.4%

46.59%

Valur Reykjavik Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.35%

39.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.67%

76.33%

Score Analysis

Dinamo Zagreb 57.74%

Valur Reykjavik 19.2%

Draw 23.05%

Dinamo Zagreb	Draw	Valur Reykjavik
1-0 @ 11.85% 2-0 @ 10.6% 2-1 @ 9.81% 3-0 @ 6.33% 3-1 @ 5.85% 4-0 @ 2.83% 3-2 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 2.62% 4-2 @ 1.21% 5-0 @ 1.01% 5-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.98% Total : 57.74%	1-1 @ 10.96% 0-0 @ 6.62% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.05%	0-1 @ 6.13% 1-2 @ 5.07% 0-2 @ 2.83% 1-3 @ 1.56% 2-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.21% Total : 19.2%