Valur
0 - 2
Dinamo Zagreb

(Dinamo Zagreb win 5-2 on aggregate)

Freyr Sigurdsson (34')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ivanusec (31'), Orsic (89')
Misic (60')

Coverage of the Champions League First Qualifying Round clash between Valur Reykjavik and Dinamo Zagreb.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 48.87%. A win for Valur Reykjavik had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Valur Reykjavik win was 2-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.

Result
Valur Reykjavik	Draw	Dinamo Zagreb
27.25%	23.88%	48.87%

Both teams to score 57.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.82%

44.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.44%

66.55%

Valur Reykjavik Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.3%

29.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.25%

65.75%

Dinamo Zagreb Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.8%

18.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.8%

49.2%

Score Analysis

Valur Reykjavik 27.25%

Dinamo Zagreb 48.87%

Draw 23.87%

Valur Reykjavik	Draw	Dinamo Zagreb
2-1 @ 6.79% 1-0 @ 6.56% 2-0 @ 3.98% 3-1 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 2.34% 3-0 @ 1.61% Other @ 3.23% Total : 27.25%	1-1 @ 11.17% 2-2 @ 5.78% 0-0 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.87%	1-2 @ 9.53% 0-1 @ 9.21% 0-2 @ 7.85% 1-3 @ 5.41% 0-3 @ 4.46% 2-3 @ 3.29% 1-4 @ 2.31% 0-4 @ 1.9% 2-4 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.54% Total : 48.87%