Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 49.73%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 23.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Dinamo Zagreb win it was 0-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.