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Europa League | Quarter-Finals
Apr 15, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio de la Cerámica
DZ

Villarreal
2 - 1
Dinamo Zagreb

Alcacer (36'), Moreno (43')
Trigueros (60')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Orsic (74')
Jakic (40')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 49.73%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 23.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Dinamo Zagreb win it was 0-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawDinamo Zagreb
49.73%26.73%23.53%
Both teams to score 45.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.66%58.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.05%78.96%
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.43%23.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.36%57.64%
Dinamo Zagreb Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.46%40.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.86%77.14%
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 49.73%
    Dinamo Zagreb 23.53%
    Draw 26.73%
VillarrealDrawDinamo Zagreb
1-0 @ 13.81%
2-0 @ 9.98%
2-1 @ 9.01%
3-0 @ 4.81%
3-1 @ 4.34%
3-2 @ 1.96%
4-0 @ 1.74%
4-1 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 49.73%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 9.56%
2-2 @ 4.07%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 8.63%
1-2 @ 5.63%
0-2 @ 3.9%
1-3 @ 1.69%
2-3 @ 1.22%
0-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 23.53%

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