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Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 17, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade Parc des Sports
KK

Differdange
0 - 0
KI


Jorginho (61'), El Idrissi (83'), Buch (90+3')
Bedouret (34')
FT

Ejupi (42'), Frederiksberg (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: KI 2-0 Differdange
Wednesday, July 10 at 7pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: KI 2-0 Differdange
Wednesday, July 10 at 7pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: FC Differdange 03 1-1 KI Klaksvik (KI win 3-1 on aggregate)

Despite dominating large parts of the first game, Differdange were unable to get themselves on the scoresheet and now have the difficult task of overturning a two-goal deficit. We expect this match to follow a similar trend to the reverse fixture with the hosts having a majority of the chances, but ultimately we expect KI to hold on to their aggregate lead and progress into the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KI Klaksvik win with a probability of 46.97%. A win for FC Differdange 03 had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a KI Klaksvik win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest FC Differdange 03 win was 1-0 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
FC Differdange 03DrawKI Klaksvik
27.77% (0.096 0.1) 25.26% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07) 46.97% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Both teams to score 53.36% (0.273 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.18% (0.32400000000001 0.32)49.82% (-0.329 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.18% (0.288 0.29)71.82% (-0.294 -0.29)
FC Differdange 03 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.74% (0.244 0.24)32.25% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.25% (0.278 0.28)68.75% (-0.282 -0.28)
KI Klaksvik Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.77% (0.116 0.12)21.23% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.87% (0.184 0.18)54.13% (-0.188 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    FC Differdange 03 27.77%
    KI Klaksvik 46.96%
    Draw 25.26%
FC Differdange 03DrawKI Klaksvik
1-0 @ 7.75% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-1 @ 6.79% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.38% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.56% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.65% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 27.77%
1-1 @ 12% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.85% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.04 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.26%
0-1 @ 10.61% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 9.31% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.22% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.81% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.031 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.86% (0.015 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.65% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 46.96%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: KI 2-0 Differdange
Wednesday, July 10 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Maribor 4-3 Differdange
Thursday, August 3 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Differdange 1-1 Maribor
Thursday, July 27 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Differdange 1-2 Ljubljana
Thursday, July 14 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ljubljana 1-1 Differdange
Thursday, July 7 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 3-0 Differdange
Thursday, August 27 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: KI 2-0 Differdange
Wednesday, July 10 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Lille 3-0 KI
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: KI 1-2 Slovan Bratislava
Thursday, November 30 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ljubljana 2-0 KI
Thursday, November 9 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: KI 3-0 Ljubljana
Thursday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: KI 0-0 Lille
Thursday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League


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