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Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 27, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Stade Parc des Sports
M

Differdange
1 - 1
Maribor

Roberto Mendes Alves Castro (25')
Monge Guevara (45'), Damian Pruzzo (47'), Rocha De Oliveira (51'), Naifi (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Jakupovic (90+6')
Milec (38')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between FC Differdange 03 and Maribor.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Differdange 1-2 Ljubljana
Thursday, July 14 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
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Last Game: Radomlje 0-4 Maribor
Sunday, July 23 at 4.30pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for FC Differdange 03 had a probability of 17.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.23%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a FC Differdange 03 win it was 1-0 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
FC Differdange 03DrawMaribor
17.62% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 22.65% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 59.73% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.68% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.33% (0.051000000000002 0.05)49.67% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.31% (0.047000000000001 0.05)71.68% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
FC Differdange 03 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.12% (0.024999999999999 0.02)41.88% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.67% (0.021000000000001 0.02)78.33% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Maribor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.75% (0.025999999999996 0.03)16.25% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.22% (0.047999999999995 0.05)45.78% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    FC Differdange 03 17.62%
    Maribor 59.72%
    Draw 22.65%
FC Differdange 03DrawMaribor
1-0 @ 5.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 4.68% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 2.58% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-1 @ 1.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.24% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 17.62%
1-1 @ 10.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.81% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.26% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 22.65%
0-1 @ 12.36% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 11.23%
1-2 @ 9.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 6.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 5.92% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.09% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.69% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-5 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 59.72%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Differdange 1-2 Ljubljana
Thursday, July 14 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ljubljana 1-1 Differdange
Thursday, July 7 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 3-0 Differdange
Thursday, August 27 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: Differdange 1-2 Zira FK
Thursday, July 6 at 6pm in Europa League Qualifying
Last Game: Zira FK 2-0 Differdange
Thursday, June 29 at 6pm in Europa League Qualifying
Last Game: Radomlje 0-4 Maribor
Sunday, July 23 at 4.30pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga
Last Game: Birkirkara 1-2 Maribor
Thursday, July 20 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Maribor 1-1 Birkirkara
Thursday, July 13 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: CFR Cluj 1-0 Maribor
Thursday, August 25 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Maribor 0-0 CFR Cluj
Thursday, August 18 at 7.15pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-0 Maribor
Thursday, August 11 at 5pm in Europa League


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