Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 46.97%. A win for Ferencvaros had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Ferencvaros win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.