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CL
Serie A | Gameweek 4
Oct 17, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Ezio Scida
JL

Crotone
1 - 1
Juventus

Simy (12' pen.)
Cigarini (14'), Reca (67'), Magallan (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Morata (21')
Bonucci (11'), Portanova (37'), Kulusevski (45+1')
Chiesa (60')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 52.3%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Crotone win was 2-1 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
CrotoneDrawJuventus
25.17%22.53%52.3%
Both teams to score 60.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.25%39.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.9%62.1%
Crotone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.06%28.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.17%64.82%
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.69%15.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.97%44.02%
Score Analysis
    Crotone 25.17%
    Juventus 52.3%
    Draw 22.53%
CrotoneDrawJuventus
2-1 @ 6.39%
1-0 @ 5.49%
2-0 @ 3.4%
3-1 @ 2.64%
3-2 @ 2.48%
3-0 @ 1.41%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 25.17%
1-1 @ 10.3%
2-2 @ 6%
0-0 @ 4.43%
3-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.53%
1-2 @ 9.68%
0-1 @ 8.31%
0-2 @ 7.8%
1-3 @ 6.05%
0-3 @ 4.88%
2-3 @ 3.75%
1-4 @ 2.84%
0-4 @ 2.29%
2-4 @ 1.76%
1-5 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 52.3%


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