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Champions League | Third Qualifying Round
Sep 15, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
GHELAMCO-arena

Gent
2 - 1
Rapid Wien

Dorsch (36'), Yaremchuk (59' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Demir (90+3')
Hofmann (5'), Arase (22'), Fountas (86'), Demir (90+1')
Coverage of the Champions League Third Qualifying Round clash between Gent and Rapid Vienna.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Rapid Wien had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Rapid Wien win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Gent in this match.

Result
GentDrawRapid Wien
41.03%24.49%34.49%
Both teams to score 59.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.42%43.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.03%65.97%
Gent Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.69%21.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.74%54.26%
Rapid Wien Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.3%24.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.76%59.24%
Score Analysis
    Gent 41.03%
    Rapid Wien 34.49%
    Draw 24.48%
GentDrawRapid Wien
2-1 @ 8.8%
1-0 @ 8.14%
2-0 @ 6.29%
3-1 @ 4.53%
3-0 @ 3.24%
3-2 @ 3.17%
4-1 @ 1.75%
4-0 @ 1.25%
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 41.03%
1-1 @ 11.37%
2-2 @ 6.15%
0-0 @ 5.26%
3-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.48%
1-2 @ 7.96%
0-1 @ 7.36%
0-2 @ 5.15%
1-3 @ 3.71%
2-3 @ 2.87%
0-3 @ 2.4%
1-4 @ 1.3%
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 34.49%


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