Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.93%) and 3-2 (5.4%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
