Man City
4 - 1
Brugge

Foden (15'), Mahrez (54'), Sterling (72'), Jesus (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Stones (17' og.)

Preview

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 59.32%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Club Brugge had a probability of 18.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Club Brugge win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Club Brugge
59.32%	21.99%	18.68%

Both teams to score 52.7%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.7%

45.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.36%

67.64%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.1%

14.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.74%

43.26%

Club Brugge Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.93%

38.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.16%

74.83%

Score Analysis

Manchester City 59.31%

Club Brugge 18.68%

Draw 21.99%

Manchester City	Draw	Club Brugge
1-0 @ 10.79% 2-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 9.93% 3-0 @ 6.52% 3-1 @ 6.3% 4-0 @ 3.11% 3-2 @ 3.04% 4-1 @ 3% 4-2 @ 1.45% 5-0 @ 1.18% 5-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.57% Total : 59.31%	1-1 @ 10.42% 0-0 @ 5.67% 2-2 @ 4.79% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.99%	0-1 @ 5.48% 1-2 @ 5.04% 0-2 @ 2.65% 1-3 @ 1.62% 2-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.36% Total : 18.68%