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Premier League | Gameweek 8
Oct 16, 2021 at 3pm UK
Etihad Stadium
BL

Man City
2 - 0
Burnley

Silva (12'), De Bruyne (70')
Laporte (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 81.36%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 6.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.67%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-2 (2.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Manchester City in this match.

Result
Manchester CityDrawBurnley
81.36%12.11%6.53%
Both teams to score 48.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.7%30.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.44%51.56%
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.38%5.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.2%21.79%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.32%48.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.28%83.72%
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 81.35%
    Burnley 6.53%
    Draw 12.11%
Manchester CityDrawBurnley
2-0 @ 11.34%
3-0 @ 10.88%
2-1 @ 8.17%
1-0 @ 7.88%
4-0 @ 7.84%
3-1 @ 7.84%
4-1 @ 5.64%
5-0 @ 4.52%
5-1 @ 3.25%
3-2 @ 2.82%
6-0 @ 2.17%
4-2 @ 2.03%
6-1 @ 1.56%
5-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 4.25%
Total : 81.35%
1-1 @ 5.67%
2-2 @ 2.94%
0-0 @ 2.73%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 12.11%
1-2 @ 2.04%
0-1 @ 1.97%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 6.53%

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