Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 51.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Borac Banja Luka had a probability of 24.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Borac Banja Luka win it was 0-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.
Result | ||
PAOK | Draw | Borac Banja Luka |
51.51% ( 2.27) | 24.26% ( -0.05) | 24.23% ( -2.23) |
Both teams to score 53.35% ( -2.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.68% ( -1.67) | 48.32% ( 1.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.53% ( -1.55) | 70.46% ( 1.55) |
PAOK Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.24% ( 0.25) | 18.75% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.86% ( 0.42) | 50.14% ( -0.42) |
Borac Banja Luka Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.66% ( -2.74) | 34.34% ( 2.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.96% ( -3.04) | 71.04% ( 3.03) |
Score Analysis |
PAOK | Draw | Borac Banja Luka |
1-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.8) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.74) 3-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.45) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.2) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.22% Total : 51.5% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.34) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.26% | 0-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.46) 0-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.31) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.35) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.27) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.17% Total : 24.23% |
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