SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PAOK | Draw | Panathinaikos |
44.19% ( -0.09) | 24.8% ( 0) | 31.01% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 56.89% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.88% ( 0.02) | 46.12% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.58% ( 0.02) | 68.41% ( -0.03) |
| PAOK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.07% ( -0.03) | 20.93% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.34% ( -0.04) | 53.66% ( 0.04) |
| Panathinaikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.94% ( 0.07) | 28.06% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.28% ( 0.08) | 63.72% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| PAOK | Draw | Panathinaikos |
| 1-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 44.19% | 1-1 @ 11.67% 0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.8% | 0-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.78% Total : 31.01% |
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