SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PAOK | Draw | Olympiacos |
44.23% ( 0.03) | 24.54% ( -0.05) | 31.23% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.87% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.13% ( 0.22) | 44.88% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.77% ( 0.21) | 67.23% ( -0.21) |
| PAOK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.61% ( 0.1) | 20.4% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.18% ( 0.16) | 52.82% ( -0.16) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.7% ( 0.12) | 27.31% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.25% ( 0.16) | 62.75% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| PAOK | Draw | Olympiacos |
| 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.73% 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 44.23% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.54% | 1-2 @ 7.46% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.97% Total : 31.23% |
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