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RB
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 20, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
Red Bull Arena
W

Salzburg
3 - 1
Wolfsburg

Adeyemi (3'), Okafor (65', 77')
Camara (19'), Capaldo (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nmecha (15')
Mbabu (47'), Arnold (84')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 62.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 16.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.

Result
Red Bull SalzburgDrawWolfsburg
62.58%20.49%16.93%
Both teams to score 54.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.5%41.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.11%63.89%
Red Bull Salzburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.31%12.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.12%38.88%
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.18%37.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.41%74.59%
Score Analysis
    Red Bull Salzburg 62.57%
    Wolfsburg 16.93%
    Draw 20.49%
Red Bull SalzburgDrawWolfsburg
2-0 @ 10.22%
2-1 @ 9.94%
1-0 @ 9.91%
3-0 @ 7.04%
3-1 @ 6.84%
4-0 @ 3.63%
4-1 @ 3.53%
3-2 @ 3.33%
4-2 @ 1.72%
5-0 @ 1.5%
5-1 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 62.57%
1-1 @ 9.63%
2-2 @ 4.83%
0-0 @ 4.8%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.49%
1-2 @ 4.68%
0-1 @ 4.66%
0-2 @ 2.27%
2-3 @ 1.57%
1-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 16.93%

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