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SL
Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 14, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
RB

Sevilla
1 - 1
Salzburg

Rakitic (42' pen.)
Carlos (13'), En-Nesyri (26'), Rakitic (65'), Delaney (82'), Navas (84')
En-Nesyri (50')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sucic (21' pen.)
Seiwald (15'), Capaldo (84'), Camara (90+3'), Okafor (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.64%) and 3-2 (5.41%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
SevillaDrawRed Bull Salzburg
46.23%20.02%33.75%
Both teams to score 76.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.53%21.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
59.84%40.15%
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.44%10.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.71%34.28%
Red Bull Salzburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.31%14.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.14%42.86%
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 46.23%
    Red Bull Salzburg 33.75%
    Draw 20.02%
SevillaDrawRed Bull Salzburg
2-1 @ 7.52%
3-1 @ 5.64%
3-2 @ 5.41%
2-0 @ 3.92%
1-0 @ 3.49%
4-1 @ 3.17%
4-2 @ 3.04%
3-0 @ 2.94%
4-3 @ 1.94%
4-0 @ 1.65%
5-1 @ 1.43%
5-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 4.73%
Total : 46.23%
2-2 @ 7.21%
1-1 @ 6.69%
3-3 @ 3.46%
0-0 @ 1.55%
4-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.02%
1-2 @ 6.41%
2-3 @ 4.61%
1-3 @ 4.1%
0-1 @ 2.97%
0-2 @ 2.85%
2-4 @ 2.21%
1-4 @ 1.97%
0-3 @ 1.82%
3-4 @ 1.66%
Other @ 5.15%
Total : 33.75%

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