Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 53.68%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Rennes had a probability of 20.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.75%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Rennes win it was 1-0 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.