Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 58.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Rennes had a probability of 14.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.75%) and 2-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.56%), while for a Rennes win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.