Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 53.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 21.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.05%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-0 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
