The absence of hotshot En-Nesyri could prove fatal against a Wolfsburg side already appearing more well-drilled under Kohfeldt, and it has just not gone Sevilla's way in Europe this term.
The visitors demonstrated their fighting spirit against Arminia and will be boosted by the return of the highly-rated Lacroix, so we expect Wolfsburg to break into the top two with a hard-fought win in Seville.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 53.72%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 23.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
