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Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 6, 2021 at 7pm UK
Ecolog Arena
NM

Shkendija
0 - 1
NS Mura


Krivak (28'), Pavic (55'), Igor (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bobicanec (28' pen.)
Kouter (52')
Coverage of the Champions League First Qualifying Round clash between Shkendija and NS Mura.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NS Mura win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Shkendija had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a NS Mura win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.16%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest Shkendija win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NS Mura would win this match.

Result
ShkendijaDrawNS Mura
35.56%23.73%40.71%
Both teams to score 62.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.29%39.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.93%62.06%
Shkendija Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.68%22.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.21%55.79%
NS Mura Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.19%19.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.12%51.88%
Score Analysis
    Shkendija 35.56%
    NS Mura 40.71%
    Draw 23.72%
ShkendijaDrawNS Mura
2-1 @ 8.05%
1-0 @ 6.63%
2-0 @ 4.97%
3-1 @ 4.02%
3-2 @ 3.26%
3-0 @ 2.49%
4-1 @ 1.51%
4-2 @ 1.22%
4-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 35.56%
1-1 @ 10.73%
2-2 @ 6.52%
0-0 @ 4.42%
3-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.72%
1-2 @ 8.69%
0-1 @ 7.16%
0-2 @ 5.79%
1-3 @ 4.69%
2-3 @ 3.52%
0-3 @ 3.13%
1-4 @ 1.9%
2-4 @ 1.42%
0-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 40.71%

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