SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Prague win with a probability of 52.98%. A win for Brest had a probability of 23.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Prague win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Brest in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Prague | Draw | Brest |
52.98% ( -0.03) | 23.19% ( 0.04) | 23.83% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.4% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.93% ( -0.22) | 44.07% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.55% ( -0.21) | 66.45% ( 0.21) |
| Sparta Prague Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.38% ( -0.09) | 16.62% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.56% ( -0.16) | 46.44% ( 0.15) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.64% ( -0.13) | 32.36% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.12% ( -0.15) | 68.88% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Prague | Draw | Brest |
| 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.18% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.2% Total : 52.98% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.18% | 1-2 @ 6.14% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 23.83% |
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