Both teams will fancy their chances of claiming a positive result from Wednesday's contest, but taking into account Sparta Prague's impressive run of form at the start of the new campaign, we can see the Czech-based outfit coming away from Sweden with a slender first-leg victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 65.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 15.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for a Sparta Prague win it was 1-2 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sparta Prague would win this match.

Result
Malmo	Draw	Sparta Prague
65.75%	18.5%	15.75%

Both teams to score 58.84%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.69%

34.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.78%

56.22%

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.24%

9.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.53%

32.47%

Sparta Prague Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.21%

34.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.47%

71.53%

Score Analysis

Malmo 65.75%

Sparta Prague 15.75%

Draw 18.5%

Malmo	Draw	Sparta Prague
2-1 @ 9.71% 2-0 @ 9.19% 1-0 @ 7.9% 3-1 @ 7.53% 3-0 @ 7.13% 4-1 @ 4.38% 4-0 @ 4.15% 3-2 @ 3.97% 4-2 @ 2.31% 5-1 @ 2.04% 5-0 @ 1.93% 5-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 4.43% Total : 65.75%	1-1 @ 8.34% 2-2 @ 5.12% 0-0 @ 3.4% 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.24% Total : 18.5%	1-2 @ 4.4% 0-1 @ 3.59% 0-2 @ 1.89% 2-3 @ 1.8% 1-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.52% Total : 15.75%