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Champions League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 21, 2024 at 8pm UK
Swedbank Stadion

Malmo
0 - 2
Sparta Prague


Busanello (11'), Pena (34'), Christiansen (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Stryger Larsen (31' og.), Rynes (89')
Olatunji (40'), Laci (62'), Pesek (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Malmo 2-1 Norrkoping
Saturday, August 17 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Next Game: Midtjylland vs. Slovan Bratislava
Wednesday, August 21 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Jablonec 1-2 Sparta Prague
Saturday, August 17 at 7pm in Czech Liga
Next Game: Midtjylland vs. Slovan Bratislava
Wednesday, August 21 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Malmo 1-2 Sparta Prague

Both teams will fancy their chances of claiming a positive result from Wednesday's contest, but taking into account Sparta Prague's impressive run of form at the start of the new campaign, we can see the Czech-based outfit coming away from Sweden with a slender first-leg victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 65.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 15.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for a Sparta Prague win it was 1-2 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sparta Prague would win this match.

Result
MalmoDrawSparta Prague
65.75%18.5%15.75%
Both teams to score 58.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.69%34.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.78%56.22%
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.24%9.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.53%32.47%
Sparta Prague Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.21%34.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.47%71.53%
Score Analysis
    Malmo 65.75%
    Sparta Prague 15.75%
    Draw 18.5%
MalmoDrawSparta Prague
2-1 @ 9.71%
2-0 @ 9.19%
1-0 @ 7.9%
3-1 @ 7.53%
3-0 @ 7.13%
4-1 @ 4.38%
4-0 @ 4.15%
3-2 @ 3.97%
4-2 @ 2.31%
5-1 @ 2.04%
5-0 @ 1.93%
5-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 4.43%
Total : 65.75%
1-1 @ 8.34%
2-2 @ 5.12%
0-0 @ 3.4%
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 18.5%
1-2 @ 4.4%
0-1 @ 3.59%
0-2 @ 1.89%
2-3 @ 1.8%
1-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 15.75%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Malmo 2-1 Norrkoping
Saturday, August 17 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: PAOK 3-4 Malmo
Tuesday, August 13 at 6.30pm in Champions League
Last Game: Halmstad 0-1 Malmo
Saturday, August 10 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Jagiellonia 0-1 Bodo/Glimt
Wednesday, August 7 at 7.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: KI 3-2 Malmo
Tuesday, July 30 at 7.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Malmo 0-1 Sirius
Saturday, July 27 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Jablonec 1-2 Sparta Prague
Saturday, August 17 at 7pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: FCSB 2-3 Sparta Prague
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.30pm in Champions League
Last Game: Bohemians 1905 1-2 Sparta Prague
Saturday, August 10 at 4pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Sparta Prague 1-1 FCSB
Tuesday, August 6 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Jagiellonia 0-1 Bodo/Glimt
Wednesday, August 7 at 7.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Sparta Prague 2-0 Dukla Prague
Friday, August 2 at 7pm in Czech Liga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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