SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Brest had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Brest in this match.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Sturm Graz |
31.76% ( 0.34) | 24.96% ( 0.02) | 43.27% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 56.66% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.44% ( 0.03) | 46.56% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.17% ( 0.03) | 68.83% ( -0.03) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.21% ( 0.24) | 27.79% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.63% ( 0.3) | 63.37% ( -0.3) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.47% ( -0.15) | 21.53% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.4% ( -0.24) | 54.6% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brest | Draw | Sturm Graz |
| 1-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.85% Total : 31.76% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 4.62% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 43.27% |
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