Sheriff will be favourites to progress from this tie given that they have regularly competed in European competitions in recent seasons, but Farul should not be underestimated having made great strides under Hagi's tutelage in recent years.
However, we can envisage the visitors playing for a draw in the away leg before going for the win at Sheriff Stadium, and we expect them to achieve the first part of those aims on Wednesday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheriff Tiraspol win with a probability of 51%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for SSC Farul had a probability of 23.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheriff Tiraspol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.72%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a SSC Farul win it was 1-0 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
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