Even during the worst days of Favre's reign, Nice's home stadium has been a daunting venue for opponents to visit; Sheriff would have to end the club's five-month unbeaten run at home to force their way into the quarter-finals, a feat which seems - if not entirely impossible - unlikely.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 51.4%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 23.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Sheriff Tiraspol win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
-0.02) 
0.01) 
