Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Breidablik win with a probability of 62.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Tre Penne had a probability of 16.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Breidablik win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.45%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Tre Penne win it was 1-0 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Breidablik would win this match.
Result | ||
Tre Penne | Draw | Breidablik |
16.16% ( 0.46) | 21.54% ( 0.03) | 62.3% ( -0.49) |
Both teams to score 49.15% ( 0.92) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.51% ( 0.7) | 47.49% ( -0.71) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.3% ( 0.64) | 69.7% ( -0.65) |
Tre Penne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.6% ( 1.03) | 42.39% ( -1.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.22% ( 0.87) | 78.77% ( -0.88) |
Breidablik Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.32% ( 0.07) | 14.67% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.16% ( 0.14) | 42.83% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Tre Penne | Draw | Breidablik |
1-0 @ 5.34% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.67% Total : 16.16% | 1-1 @ 10.24% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.86% Total : 21.53% | 0-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 11.45% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 9.83% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 7.33% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 6.29% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 3.52% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 3.02% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.09) 0-5 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.05) 1-5 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 62.28% |
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