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Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 23, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadi Nacional
M

UE Santa Coloma
0 - 3
Midtjylland


Mohedano (70'), Garcia (73')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Franculino (12'), Diao (28'), Simsir (63')

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: KF Ballkani 1-2 UE Santa Coloma (5-6 pen.)
Tuesday, July 16 at 3.30pm in Champions League
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Last Game: Aarhus 1-1 Midtjylland
Friday, July 19 at 5pm in Danish Superliga

We said: UE Santa Coloma 1-2 FC Midtjylland

Considering the difficulties that Santa Coloma encountered in their first-round tie against Ballkani, they could once again struggle on Tuesday. Having said that, Midtjylland will have to contend with several absentees and that could make for a close encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 65.86%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for UE Santa Coloma had a probability of 15%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a UE Santa Coloma win it was 2-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Midtjylland would win this match.

Result
UE Santa ColomaDrawFC Midtjylland
15% (-10.121 -10.12) 19.14% (-5.338 -5.34) 65.86% (15.459 15.46)
Both teams to score 54.49% (0.895 0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.97% (9.407 9.41)39.02% (-9.407 -9.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.65% (9.219 9.22)61.35% (-9.219 -9.22)
UE Santa Coloma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.27% (-5.095 -5.1)38.73% (5.093 5.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.53% (-5.184 -5.18)75.47% (5.185 5.19)
FC Midtjylland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.94% (8.177 8.18)11.05% (-8.178 -8.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.6% (15.537 15.54)35.4% (-15.538 -15.54)
Score Analysis
    UE Santa Coloma 15%
    FC Midtjylland 65.86%
    Draw 19.14%
UE Santa ColomaDrawFC Midtjylland
2-1 @ 4.24% (-2.088 -2.09)
1-0 @ 4.06% (-2.987 -2.99)
2-0 @ 1.93% (-1.913 -1.91)
3-2 @ 1.48% (-0.418 -0.42)
3-1 @ 1.34% (-0.958 -0.96)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 15%
1-1 @ 8.94% (-2.676 -2.68)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.547 -0.55)
0-0 @ 4.28% (-2.188 -2.19)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 19.14%
0-2 @ 10.38% (1.589 1.59)
1-2 @ 9.85% (0.271 0.27)
0-1 @ 9.43% (-1.231 -1.23)
0-3 @ 7.62% (2.791 2.79)
1-3 @ 7.23% (1.966 1.97)
0-4 @ 4.2% (2.206 2.21)
1-4 @ 3.98% (1.811 1.81)
2-3 @ 3.43% (0.562 0.56)
2-4 @ 1.89% (0.706 0.71)
0-5 @ 1.85% (1.192 1.19)
1-5 @ 1.75% (1.039 1.04)
Other @ 4.25%
Total : 65.86%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: KF Ballkani 1-2 UE Santa Coloma (5-6 pen.)
Tuesday, July 16 at 3.30pm in Champions League
Last Game: UE Santa Coloma 1-2 KF Ballkani
Tuesday, July 9 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Breidablik 4-1 UE Santa Coloma
Thursday, July 14 at 8.15pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: UE Santa Coloma 0-1 Breidablik
Thursday, July 7 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: UE Santa Coloma 0-2 Osijek
Thursday, June 29 at 6pm in Europa League Qualifying
Last Game: Aarhus 1-1 Midtjylland
Friday, July 19 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Midtjylland 3-3 Silkeborg
Sunday, May 26 at 4pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Nordsjaelland 3-3 Midtjylland
Monday, May 20 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Copenhagen 1-2 Midtjylland
Thursday, May 16 at 7pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Midtjylland 2-1 Aarhus
Sunday, May 12 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Midtjylland 3-2 Brondby
Sunday, May 5 at 5pm in Danish Superliga


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