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Danish Superliga | Gameweek 1
Jul 19, 2024 at 5pm UK
Ceres Park
M

Aarhus
1 - 1
Midtjylland

Bech (8')
Anderson (35'), Rosler (36'), Andersen (89'), Andersen (90+9')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Buksa (47')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brondby 2-3 Aarhus
Sunday, May 26 at 4pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Midtjylland 3-3 Silkeborg
Sunday, May 26 at 4pm in Danish Superliga

We said: Aarhus 1-3 FC Midtjylland

Aarhus are in for a tough 90 minutes against a well-drilled Midtjylland side, who have won each of their last four meetings and have lost just one game across all competitions since the start of May. While we expect the hosts to put up a fight, Thomasberg's men boast the firepower needed to get the job done and we are backing them to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest FC Midtjylland win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
AarhusDrawFC Midtjylland
45.61% (0.344 0.34) 25.3% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 29.08% (-0.364 -0.36)
Both teams to score 54.13% (-0.274 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.77% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)49.23% (0.253 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.71% (-0.233 -0.23)71.29% (0.229 0.23)
Aarhus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.41% (0.046999999999997 0.05)21.58% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.32% (0.073 0.07)54.67% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
FC Midtjylland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.03% (-0.39400000000001 -0.39)30.97% (0.389 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.73% (-0.464 -0.46)67.27% (0.46000000000001 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Aarhus 45.6%
    FC Midtjylland 29.08%
    Draw 25.3%
AarhusDrawFC Midtjylland
1-0 @ 10.24% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.21% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.86% (0.104 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.71% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.02% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.8% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.54% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 45.6%
1-1 @ 12.01% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.68% (0.069 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 7.83% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 7.04% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.59% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.75% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 29.08%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Brondby 2-3 Aarhus
Sunday, May 26 at 4pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Aarhus 3-2 Copenhagen
Tuesday, May 21 at 6pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Aarhus 0-1 Silkeborg
Thursday, May 16 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Midtjylland 2-1 Aarhus
Sunday, May 12 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Aarhus 1-3 Nordsjaelland
Friday, May 3 at 6pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Copenhagen 3-2 Aarhus
Sunday, April 28 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Midtjylland 3-3 Silkeborg
Sunday, May 26 at 4pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Nordsjaelland 3-3 Midtjylland
Monday, May 20 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Copenhagen 1-2 Midtjylland
Thursday, May 16 at 7pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Midtjylland 2-1 Aarhus
Sunday, May 12 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Midtjylland 3-2 Brondby
Sunday, May 5 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Silkeborg 3-0 Midtjylland
Monday, April 29 at 6pm in Danish Superliga


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