Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Reading had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.6%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (11.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
