Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.81%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
