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LT
Championship | Gameweek 41
Jul 4, 2020 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
RL

Luton
0 - 5
Reading

 
FT(HT: 0-3)
Meite (17', 18', 35', 62'), Puscas (57')
Pele (15')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawReading
34.18%25.71%40.11%
Both teams to score 54.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.84%49.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.77%71.22%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.46%27.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.95%63.04%
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.79%24.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.45%58.54%
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 34.18%
    Reading 40.11%
    Draw 25.71%
Luton TownDrawReading
1-0 @ 8.6%
2-1 @ 7.86%
2-0 @ 5.54%
3-1 @ 3.38%
3-2 @ 2.4%
3-0 @ 2.38%
4-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 34.18%
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 6.66%
2-2 @ 5.58%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 9.45%
1-2 @ 8.65%
0-2 @ 6.71%
1-3 @ 4.09%
0-3 @ 3.17%
2-3 @ 2.64%
1-4 @ 1.45%
0-4 @ 1.13%
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 40.11%


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