Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.
