Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
