Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.
