SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 57.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 19.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.4%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 1-0 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Leeds United |
| 19.74% | 23.16% | 57.1% |
| Both teams to score 50.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.25% | 48.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.14% | 70.86% |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.07% | 38.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.35% | 75.65% |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.16% | 16.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.16% | 46.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Leeds United |
| 1-0 @ 6.18% 2-1 @ 5.2% 2-0 @ 2.92% 3-1 @ 1.64% 3-2 @ 1.46% 3-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.43% Total : 19.74% | 1-1 @ 11.01% 0-0 @ 6.55% 2-2 @ 4.63% Other @ 0.96% Total : 23.16% | 0-1 @ 11.67% 0-2 @ 10.4% 1-2 @ 9.81% 0-3 @ 6.18% 1-3 @ 5.83% 0-4 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2.75% 1-4 @ 2.6% 2-4 @ 1.23% 0-5 @ 0.98% 1-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.98% Total : 57.09% |
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